Insights / us
ADBE
Adobe Inc.US05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.70%
P05–P95 span
11.10%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+13.35%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.69%P25: -0.49%P50: 0.70%P75: 2.30%P95: 5.41%
Computed at: 05/15/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 27.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.