Insights / us
ABNB
Airbnb, Inc.US05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.15%
P05–P95 span
8.28%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.60%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.52%P25: -1.33%P50: 0.15%P75: 1.76%P95: 3.76%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 02:45 AM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.