Insights / us
ABBV
AbbVie Inc.US04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.18%
P05–P95 span
12.90%
Neighbors
28
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.18%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.49%P25: -4.55%P50: -2.18%P75: 0.17%P95: 3.42%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 27.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.