489790

한화비전KR04/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.64%
P05–P95 span
17.23%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.15%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.27%P25: -4.66%P50: -1.64%P75: 0.81%P95: 7.95%

Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.