Insights / kr
489790
한화비전KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.65%
P05–P95 span
15.61%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.82%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.79%P25: -5.10%P50: -1.65%P75: 0.45%P95: 5.82%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.