Insights / kr
489790
한화비전KR04/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.76%
P05–P95 span
33.12%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.34
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.75%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -19.73%P25: -7.51%P50: -0.76%P75: 2.78%P95: 13.39%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.