457190

이수스페셜티케미컬KR05/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.96%
P05–P95 span
30.18%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.40
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-25.77%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.99%P25: -3.57%P50: 0.96%P75: 4.10%P95: 24.19%

Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.