Insights / kr
457190
이수스페셜티케미컬KR04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+3.56%
P05–P95 span
14.53%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.71
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+31.61%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -1.58%P25: 1.74%P50: 3.56%P75: 7.13%P95: 12.95%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.