450080

에코프로머티KR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.85%
P05–P95 span
20.12%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.01%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.73%P25: -4.90%P50: -1.85%P75: 0.78%P95: 7.40%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.