450080

에코프로머티KR04/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.55%
P05–P95 span
27.35%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.45
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.07%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.94%P25: -3.51%P50: -0.55%P75: 3.70%P95: 16.41%

Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.