450080

에코프로머티KR04/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.94%
P05–P95 span
28.03%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.80%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.69%P25: -1.16%P50: 1.94%P75: 5.45%P95: 19.34%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 9.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.