Insights / kr
443060
HD현대마린솔루션KR05/26/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.05%
P05–P95 span
15.57%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.58%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.60%P25: -4.55%P50: -1.05%P75: 1.20%P95: 6.97%
Computed at: 05/26/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.