Insights / kr
443060
HD현대마린솔루션KR05/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-4.80%
P05–P95 span
24.20%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-10.85%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -20.98%P25: -8.16%P50: -4.80%P75: -2.40%P95: 3.22%
Computed at: 05/06/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.