Insights / kr
443060
HD현대마린솔루션KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.56%
P05–P95 span
14.20%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-16.92%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.38%P25: -1.47%P50: 0.56%P75: 4.19%P95: 7.82%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.