Insights / kr
443060
HD현대마린솔루션KR04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+3.52%
P05–P95 span
30.28%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.39
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.65%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.72%P25: -2.35%P50: 3.52%P75: 8.35%P95: 21.56%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.