Insights / kr
443060
HD현대마린솔루션KR04/06/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.12%
P05–P95 span
14.23%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+30.98%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.86%P25: -2.84%P50: -0.12%P75: 2.84%P95: 8.37%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.