402340

SK스퀘어KR05/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.78%
P05–P95 span
25.06%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-2.54%
Outer 90%
8/8(100%)
Middle 50%
4/8(50%)
Above median
5/8(63%)
Below median
3/8(38%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -16.22%P25: -4.12%P50: -1.78%P75: 1.56%P95: 8.84%

Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.4 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.