402340

SK스퀘어KR05/05/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.78%
P05–P95 span
27.06%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-6.45%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -15.24%P25: -4.93%P50: -1.78%P75: 2.56%P95: 11.82%

Computed at: 05/05/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.