Insights / kr
383220
F&FKR06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.95%
P05–P95 span
12.72%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.75
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+13.82%
Outer 90%
0/1(0%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.67%P25: -5.18%P50: -1.95%P75: 0.73%P95: 4.05%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.