377300

카카오페이KR06/09/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.65%
P05–P95 span
25.60%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
1 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+1
+4.19%
Outer 90%
1/1(100%)
Middle 50%
0/1(0%)
Above median
1/1(100%)
Below median
0/1(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.33%P25: -2.27%P50: 0.65%P75: 4.99%P95: 13.27%

Computed at: 06/09/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.