Insights / kr

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카카오페이KR06/01/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

← 2026-06-016 / 472026-06-05 →
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Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
17.83%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
6 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+6
-3.66%
Outer 90%
4/6(67%)
Middle 50%
0/6(0%)
Above median
1/6(17%)
Below median
5/6(83%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -10.87%P25: -3.05%P50: 0.00%P75: 4.16%P95: 6.96%

Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.