Insights / kr
377300
카카오페이KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.88%
P05–P95 span
18.25%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.59%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.80%P25: -7.30%P50: -2.88%P75: 0.85%P95: 8.45%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.