Insights / kr
377300
카카오페이KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.23%
P05–P95 span
22.32%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.55
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.11%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.54%P25: -3.52%P50: -1.23%P75: 0.83%P95: 10.78%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.