Insights / kr
377300
카카오페이KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.55%
P05–P95 span
15.94%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-13.10%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.14%P25: -1.69%P50: 0.55%P75: 2.64%P95: 8.80%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.