Insights / kr
377300
카카오페이KR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.17%
P05–P95 span
33.65%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.33
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+12.63%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.11%P25: -2.07%P50: 0.17%P75: 3.58%P95: 28.54%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.