Insights / kr
352820
하이브KR04/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.27%
P05–P95 span
14.78%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.20%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.43%P25: -1.68%P50: 0.27%P75: 2.10%P95: 8.34%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 7.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.