329180

HD현대중공업KR06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.72%
P05–P95 span
25.79%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+3.36%
Outer 90%
2/2(100%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.11%P25: -0.79%P50: 2.72%P75: 10.62%P95: 20.67%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.