Insights / kr
329180
HD현대중공업KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-4.03%
P05–P95 span
24.85%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-5.56%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
0/5(0%)
Below median
5/5(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -23.73%P25: -7.50%P50: -4.03%P75: -1.42%P95: 1.12%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.