329180

HD현대중공업KR05/27/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.20%
P05–P95 span
18.30%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-13.17%
Outer 90%
0/9(0%)
Middle 50%
0/9(0%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.03%P25: -2.18%P50: 1.20%P75: 4.37%P95: 10.27%

Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.