Insights / kr
329180
HD현대중공업KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.49%
P05–P95 span
33.45%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.33
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.12%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.80%P25: -2.53%P50: -0.49%P75: 5.52%P95: 26.66%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.