329180

HD현대중공업KR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.37%
P05–P95 span
15.12%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+11.86%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.45%P25: -3.48%P50: 0.37%P75: 3.23%P95: 7.68%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.