323410

카카오뱅크KR06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.13%
P05–P95 span
19.10%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
+3.77%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
2/2(100%)
Below median
0/2(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.41%P25: -2.81%P50: 0.13%P75: 2.58%P95: 9.69%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.