323410

카카오뱅크KR05/25/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.49%
P05–P95 span
20.60%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.38%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.18%P25: -1.07%P50: 1.49%P75: 5.47%P95: 12.42%

Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.