Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.68%
P05–P95 span
17.93%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.13%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.54%P25: -3.65%P50: -1.68%P75: 2.04%P95: 10.38%
Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.