Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR04/19/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.20%
P05–P95 span
24.41%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.51
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.38%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.76%P25: -2.69%P50: 0.20%P75: 3.40%P95: 17.65%
Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.