Insights / kr
323410
카카오뱅크KR04/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.59%
P05–P95 span
25.68%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+0.40%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.10%P25: -1.87%P50: 1.59%P75: 8.33%P95: 20.58%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.