Insights / kr
302440
SK바이오사이언스KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.29%
P05–P95 span
28.08%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.44
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-2.86%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -14.38%P25: -4.14%P50: -0.29%P75: 6.34%P95: 13.70%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.