Insights / kr
300720
한일시멘트KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.32%
P05–P95 span
25.47%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.49
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
-5.62%
Outer 90%
7/9(78%)
Middle 50%
1/9(11%)
Above median
0/9(0%)
Below median
9/9(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.65%P25: -2.71%P50: 0.32%P75: 3.28%P95: 18.82%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 20.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.