Insights / kr
300720
한일시멘트KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-3.95%
P05–P95 span
15.05%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.53%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.85%P25: -8.78%P50: -3.95%P75: -0.62%P95: 2.19%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.