Insights / kr
300720
한일시멘트KR04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.74%
P05–P95 span
18.82%
Neighbors
30
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-5.57%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.60%P25: -4.22%P50: -1.74%P75: 1.07%P95: 7.22%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 28.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.