Insights / kr
300720
한일시멘트KR04/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.45%
P05–P95 span
13.98%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.72
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.70%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -4.01%P25: -0.53%P50: 1.45%P75: 3.51%P95: 9.97%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:46 AM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.