Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.72%
P05–P95 span
18.71%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
+2.69%
Outer 90%
3/3(100%)
Middle 50%
1/3(33%)
Above median
3/3(100%)
Below median
0/3(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.46%P25: -5.14%P50: -1.72%P75: 0.85%P95: 7.25%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.