Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR05/31/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.76%
P05–P95 span
12.82%
Neighbors
26
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-7.43%
Outer 90%
4/7(57%)
Middle 50%
1/7(14%)
Above median
1/7(14%)
Below median
6/7(86%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.33%P25: -3.04%P50: -0.76%P75: 0.81%P95: 5.49%
Computed at: 05/31/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.