Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR05/20/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.54%
P05–P95 span
13.48%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-13.87%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.86%P25: -1.72%P50: 0.54%P75: 2.44%P95: 5.62%
Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.