Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.17%
P05–P95 span
16.24%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.13%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.12%P25: -2.15%P50: -0.17%P75: 2.53%P95: 8.12%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.