Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.03%
P05–P95 span
24.87%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.63%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.34%P25: -0.99%P50: 2.03%P75: 5.30%P95: 16.53%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.