Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.14%
P05–P95 span
18.35%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+21.67%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.63%P25: -7.99%P50: -2.14%P75: 1.52%P95: 5.72%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.