Insights / kr
298050
HS효성첨단소재KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.35%
P05–P95 span
13.62%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+3.99%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.10%P25: -0.49%P50: 1.35%P75: 3.86%P95: 10.52%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 10.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.