Insights / kr
298040
효성중공업KR06/09/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.92%
P05–P95 span
16.80%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
2 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+2
-0.65%
Outer 90%
1/2(50%)
Middle 50%
0/2(0%)
Above median
1/2(50%)
Below median
1/2(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.40%P25: -7.23%P50: -2.92%P75: 0.25%P95: 4.40%
Computed at: 06/09/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.2 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.