Insights / kr
298040
효성중공업KR06/01/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.55%
P05–P95 span
30.94%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.38
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
7 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+7
-10.64%
Outer 90%
4/7(57%)
Middle 50%
0/7(0%)
Above median
0/7(0%)
Below median
7/7(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.21%P25: -3.49%P50: -0.55%P75: 2.55%P95: 17.72%
Computed at: 06/01/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.